Well alright, here's the deal. I was playing around normally, without any problems, until I noticed a texture issue which I had to fix by eliminating what was causing it in ArchiveInvalidation.txt. Before hand, helmet textures for the guards around the palace in the imperial city were black. I deleted these lines of text:
textures/menus/icons/armor/cowlofthegrayfox/helmet.dds
textures/menus50/icons/armor/cowlofthegrayfox/helmet.dds
textures/menus80/icons/armor/cowlofthegrayfox/helmet.dds
and it fixed the problem right up.
However I noticed after a load screen that the moon turned black and stayed that way, regardless of restarting oblivion, or not. I tried loading an old save, and waited for night, and the moon showed up in all it's glory. This was during a clear sky (fw 38eee.) So I reloaded the other save. The moon was there. So I ignored it, until I turned on oblivion again and started playing, and the moon is black again, and again every time I start that save. So I figure it must be this save file, and I don't have and earlier version of it.
Any suggestions on how to fix this problem?